The Jackpot - Rise up!

November 22, 2013  •  Leave a Comment

Havana with Gary StevensHavana with Gary StevensHavana had a jockey switch because JR Velazquez was hurt earlier in the day. Gary Stevens was in the irons, for Todd Pletcher.

 

 

Delta Downs Jackpot – 7th Derby Prep Race

Rise up!

Delta Downs, Vinton LA

The seventh Kentucky Derby prep race is upon us. The Delta Downs Jackpot a Grade III, one million dollar 1 - 1/16 mile dirt race. Wow. That’s a bunch of cash! We have a great card of horses. We have a couple more preps this year then we enter into the three year old 2014 season. The class of these horse are a little less but, then the Breeders Cup Juvenile. But, I pay attention to all of the Derby prep races because you may see something that no one else does.  That’s how you win the big bucks, homework, diligence, paying attention and lots of practice. It’s a solid group, with ten in total. Delta Downs is between Houston, Texas and New Orleans, Louisiana. There is also a solid Juvenile filly’s the 500K Delta Princess being run right before this one. 

One horse will emerge as a Kentucky Derby hopeful.

Here’s the lineup:

Delta Downs Jackpot - Points for the Kentucky Derby 10/4/2/1

1

Whyruawesome 
ML: 10-1

E. Martin, Jr. 
117 Lbs

A. Smith

L

2

Coastline 
ML: 5-2

S. Bridgmohan
119 Lbs

M. Casse

L

3

Roman Unbridled 
ML: 30-1

K. Smith 
117 Lbs

C. Cook

L

4

Mighty Brown 
ML: 12-1

M. Mena 
117 Lbs

T. Ice

L

5

Rum Point 
ML: 5-1

M. Gutierrez 
117 Lbs

D. O'Neill

L

6

Flat Gone 
ML: 20-1

D. Saenz 
117 Lbs

J. Desormeaux

L

7

Rankhasprivileges 
ML: 15-1

R. Albarado 
117 Lbs

K. McPeek

FTL

8

Casiguapo 
ML: 4-1

L. Saez 
117 Lbs

M. Morales

L

9

Big Bazinga 
ML: 12-1

R. Napravnik 
117 Lbs

K. Vassilieva

L

10

Rise Up 
ML: 3-1

G. Melancon 
119 Lbs

T. Amoss

L

 

My first pic-

10 - Rise up (Second Favorite)

·         Has ran 5 times and has won 3,

·         Has ran in a 200K, 1/16 race over this track Delta Downs has some class and experience.

·         88 Beyer’s

·         Ran a mile in 138.1

·         Workouts look solid of late

·         He won going away last time out.

Negatives:

He ran his best race last time out.

Coming out of the 10th hole may expend a bunch of energy early to get in stalking position.

He ran a mile couple seconds slower than Coastline.

 

My second Pic

2 - Coastline (Currently Favorite)

·         Ran 3 times and has won 2

·         86 Beyer’s

·         Ran a mile in 136.3

Negatives:

His best race was his last.

May get boxed into the rail if he doesn’t break well.

First time over this track.

 

My third pic-

8 - Casiguapo

·         Ran 4 times and has won 1 but, in the money

·         77 Beyer’s

·         Stretching out, I think this is an advantage for him.

·         I like Luis Saez also.

Negatives:             

Has difficultly winning.

First time over this track.

Hasn’t showed much of late.

Big Bazinga & Rum Point will get to the top. Coastline and Rise Up will stalk. Mighty Brown will be up in the mix also. I think there is some speed in the race so if it’s really quick pace, it will set up well for Casiguapo and potentially Mighty Brown. Do a little Visual Handicapping before the race to see who looks good. Based on what I see any one of my top three pics could be my win bet. I will also box 4 horses in an exacta to see if I can catch something. I May pay a couple straight exactas also with Rise up and I’ll pic the second horse tomorrow maybe Mighty Brown. I'll do a little after race analysis to see if this post made any sense. Check out my podcast much of this content was shared!

Good luck!

Written by - Howard Dinet, CEO of Angle Light Media.


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